Setiembre 18, 2020

Crude Oil Hits $47 After Shock EIA Report

20 Julio 2017, 12:35 | Azura Castelo

Crude Oil Hits $47 After Shock EIA Report

Crude Oil Hits $47 After Shock EIA Report

Sinopec raised its refining volume each year since 2005 until 2016, when the private processors started boosting operations armed with government approvals to purchase imported oil. "The net result is a rise in the demand for OPEC oil". For more than three years, the group has been grappling with low prices as global supply outpaced demand. This is after calling for $60 by Q4 previously. Nevertheless, within the consolidation, price action in the near-term appears to be slightly more bullish than bearish.

Yet oil imports increased by 386,000 barrels a day during the week to an average rate of 8.0m barrels per day.

Brent crude, the global benchmark, was up marginally, by 0.04%, to $48.86 a barrel, in London mid-morning trading.

Gene McGillian, manager of market research at Tradition Energy, said, "The idea of higher production levels, particularly in the U.S., Libya, and Nigeria".

The drawdown occurred even as EIA said USA production climbed to 9.43 million barrels per day (bpd), its highest since July 2015. They are now sitting at 495 million barrels.

July 7th's report is in red. The market had initially been expecting a drawdown of roughly 3 million barrels.

Oil prices were stable on Tuesday, supported by strong consumption but weighed by high supplies from producer club Opec and also the US. I see this trend in US inventory draws generally continuing over the next few months driven by a few key factors.

That acceleration in demand, when combined with OPEC's output cuts, resulted in a noticeable draw on US oil inventories in recent weeks.

Last Friday, oil prices have risen throughout the week on news of a higher demand in China and closed to $46.54 although some markets are still concerned regarding an oversupply due to the lower than expected decline in the USA crude oil production. "Data so far is showing that the real spike in production only happened in June". The Canadian dollar has soared against its USA counterpart of late.

They are now 240 million barrels above the 5-year average.

Releasing producer stocks into the supply chain during 2016 and the first half of 2017 added to the sense of continuing oversupply.

What does it all mean for traders?

Cushing inventories recorded a marginal draw on the week after the 1.95 million barrel draw last week. This should put a $40 floor on oil.

Saudi Arabia, the rest of the Opec and Russian Federation are engaged in a global game of chicken with the 3,000-odd United States shale oil drillers, who can not collude on prices or output as it violates American law and whose bank loans make it imperative to maximise output even if market prices fall below the marginal cost per extra barrel.

The United States Oil ETF (NYSEMKT: USO) traded up about 0.8%, at $9.62 in a 52-week range of $8.65 to $12.00.

Matt DiLallo has no position in any stocks mentioned.

I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

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